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"There will be a shakeout" of venture capital firms, predicted Paul Maeder, co-founder of Highland Capital Partners. Maeder, who was named a Mass High Tech All-Star this fall, was among panel members at the Dec. 6 MIT Venture Capital Conference.

Sunday, December 7, 2008

MIT VC conference highlights dangers, predicts shakeout for venture capitalists

By Galen Moore


“Does venture capital need to be reinvented?” That was the question answered Saturday by David Fialkow of General Catalyst Partners, Michael Goguen of Sequoia Capital, Paul Maeder of Highland Capital Partners and David Skok of Matrix Partners.

The four panelists for the opening of the MIT Venture Capital Conference were unanimous: It does.

“There’s way too many VC firms and way too much capital that’s gone into the system,” said Skok, a general partner at Matrix, which has offices in Boston, Silicon Valley, India and China. Skok called latecomers and followers in the VC startup game “tourist entrepreneurs.”

The top 10 venture capital firms have accounted for under 5 percent of the money invested, but they have put out 38 percent of the investor returns, he said. “There’s this very long tail of firms that have not figured out to make money,” he said.

That shouldn’t discourage entrepreneurs, said Fialkow. “It doesn’t matter,” he said. “What should matter to you is, find a big idea and go for it.”

Not everyone in the audience agreed. “I find it ironic,” GrandBanks Capital co-founder Ryan Moore said later, responding to the tenor of the morning panel. “We’re in the business of innovation, but starting new funds, that’s not a good idea. Starting new companies, that’s a great idea.”

Moore’s comments came during a later panel on exit strategies.

Right now, the best companies will be those that are conservative about raising money, said Goguen. The best VCs provide more in the way of experience and advice than they do in cash, he said.

As Sequoia has studied its past investments, an interesting trend emerged, he said. “The companies that have the most success, for us, they were the companies that took the least capital.”

Still, no matter what strategy VCs choose to take, there will be some who don’t make it through the current volatility, Maeder predicted. “There needs to be a shakeout,” he said, “and there will be a shakeout.”

 

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Posted by: mhathaway@p... / Tuesday, December 9th, 2008 - 9:13 am EST
Lest the VC industry be reminded - The glut of VC capital in the 90s created a new breed of VC recruited and from MBA schools, private equity firms, and consulting firms. This new breed of VC fund managers, many now in key positions in VC firms have never actually run a company or innovated. The real shakeout is welcome by entrepreneurs who seek investment partners who understand innovation and provide capital to make visions reality. In this down economy, with large company R&D funds decimated, there are HUGE opportunities for VCs! Those who freeze up in the headlights of a down economy and resort to second guessing themselves will surely find themselves loosing the battle.

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